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๐Ÿ“Š EVM Formula Map

Earned Value Management โ€” All formulas, relationships, and interpretation rules
Process Domain ยท Formulas ยท Brain Dump Priority
๐Ÿ”— How EVM Metrics Relate
flowchart TB
  subgraph inputs ["๐Ÿ“ฅ THE THREE INPUTS"]
    direction LR
    PV["PV
Planned Value
What you planned to spend"] EV["EV
Earned Value
Value of work done"] AC["AC
Actual Cost
What you actually spent"] end subgraph variances ["๐Ÿ“ VARIANCES (Subtract)"] direction LR SV["SV = EV โˆ’ PV
Schedule Variance"] CV["CV = EV โˆ’ AC
Cost Variance"] end subgraph indices ["๐Ÿ“ˆ INDICES (Divide)"] direction LR SPI["SPI = EV / PV
Schedule Perf Index"] CPI["CPI = EV / AC
Cost Perf Index"] end subgraph forecasts ["๐Ÿ”ฎ FORECASTS"] direction LR EAC["EAC
Estimate at Completion
Projected total cost"] ETC["ETC = EAC โˆ’ AC
Estimate to Complete"] VAC["VAC = BAC โˆ’ EAC
Variance at Completion"] TCPI["TCPI
To-Complete Perf Index"] end BAC["BAC
Budget at Completion
Original total budget"] PV --> SV EV --> SV EV --> CV AC --> CV EV --> SPI PV --> SPI EV --> CPI AC --> CPI CPI --> EAC BAC --> EAC EAC --> ETC AC --> ETC BAC --> VAC EAC --> VAC BAC --> TCPI EV --> TCPI AC --> TCPI style inputs fill:#dbeafe,stroke:#2563eb,color:#1e3a5f style variances fill:#dcfce7,stroke:#16a34a,color:#14532d style indices fill:#ede9fe,stroke:#7c3aed,color:#3b0764 style forecasts fill:#ffe4e6,stroke:#e11d48,color:#881337 style BAC fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#b45309,color:#78350f
๐Ÿ“ Core Formulas
Input
PV โ€” Planned Value
Budget for work scheduled
What you planned to spend by now. The baseline.
Input
EV โ€” Earned Value
Budget for work completed
The value of work actually done. The key metric.
Input
AC โ€” Actual Cost
Actual spend to date
What you actually spent. Real money out the door.
Input
BAC โ€” Budget at Completion
Total project budget
The original total budget. Doesn't change unless re-baselined.
Variance
SV โ€” Schedule Variance
SV = EV โˆ’ PV
Negative = behind schedule. Zero = on schedule. Positive = ahead.
Variance
CV โ€” Cost Variance
CV = EV โˆ’ AC
Negative = over budget. Zero = on budget. Positive = under budget.
Index
SPI โ€” Schedule Performance Index
SPI = EV / PV
< 1.0 = behind schedule. 1.0 = on track. > 1.0 = ahead.
Index
CPI โ€” Cost Performance Index
CPI = EV / AC
< 1.0 = over budget. 1.0 = on budget. > 1.0 = under budget.
Forecast
ETC โ€” Estimate to Complete
ETC = EAC โˆ’ AC
How much more you need to spend to finish.
Forecast
VAC โ€” Variance at Completion
VAC = BAC โˆ’ EAC
Negative = will be over budget. Positive = will be under budget.
Forecast
TCPI โ€” To-Complete Performance Index
TCPI = (BAC โˆ’ EV) / (BAC โˆ’ AC)
Required efficiency to meet BAC. > 1.0 = must improve. < 1.0 = can relax.
๐Ÿ”ฎ EAC โ€” Three Variations (Know When to Use Each)
flowchart TD
  Q["What caused the variance?"]
  Q -->|"CPI trend will continue
(most common on exam)"| T["Typical
EAC = BAC / CPI"] Q -->|"Variance was a one-time event
(won't recur)"| A["Atypical
EAC = AC + (BAC โˆ’ EV)"] Q -->|"Both schedule and cost
factors apply"| B["Both Factors
EAC = AC + (BAC โˆ’ EV) / (CPI ร— SPI)"] style Q fill:#fef3c7,stroke:#b45309,color:#78350f style T fill:#dcfce7,stroke:#16a34a,color:#14532d style A fill:#dbeafe,stroke:#2563eb,color:#1e3a5f style B fill:#ede9fe,stroke:#7c3aed,color:#3b0764
ScenarioFormulaWhen to Use
Typical (CPI trend continues) EAC = BAC / CPI Default on the exam. Past performance predicts future. Most common.
Atypical (one-time variance) EAC = AC + (BAC โˆ’ EV) The variance was unusual and won't repeat. Remaining work at original rate.
Both factors (SPI + CPI) EAC = AC + (BAC โˆ’ EV) / (CPI ร— SPI) Both schedule and cost performance affect the forecast.
๐Ÿ’ก Exam Tip

If the question says "the current CPI is expected to continue" or doesn't specify, use EAC = BAC / CPI (typical). This is the default.

If it says "the variance was a one-time event" or "atypical," use EAC = AC + (BAC โˆ’ EV).

๐Ÿšฆ Quick Interpretation Guide
SV (Schedule Variance)
PositiveAhead of schedule โœ“
ZeroOn schedule
NegativeBehind schedule โœ—
CV (Cost Variance)
PositiveUnder budget โœ“
ZeroOn budget
NegativeOver budget โœ—
SPI (Schedule Index)
> 1.0Ahead of schedule โœ“
= 1.0On schedule
< 1.0Behind schedule โœ—
CPI (Cost Index)
> 1.0Under budget โœ“
= 1.0On budget
< 1.0Over budget โœ—
TCPI (To-Complete Index)
< 1.0Can relax pace โœ“
= 1.0Stay the course
> 1.0Must improve โœ—
๐Ÿง  Memory Trick

Variances: EV is always first. EV โˆ’ PV (Schedule), EV โˆ’ AC (Cost). Negative = bad.

Indices: EV is always the numerator. EV / PV (Schedule), EV / AC (Cost). Below 1.0 = bad.

Pattern: PV = schedule, AC = cost. If the second term has P โ†’ schedule. If it has C โ†’ cost.

๐Ÿ“ Other Key Formulas

๐Ÿ“ก Communication Channels

n(n โˆ’ 1) / 2
Where n = number of stakeholders (including the PM).
Example: 10 people โ†’ 10(9)/2 = 45 channels
Add 1 person โ†’ 11(10)/2 = 55 channels (+10!)

๐Ÿ“Š PERT Estimate

tE = (O + 4M + P) / 6
O = Optimistic, M = Most Likely, P = Pessimistic
Weighted toward the most likely estimate (4ร— weight).

๐Ÿ“ Standard Deviation

ฯƒ = (P โˆ’ O) / 6
Measures spread of the estimate. Larger ฯƒ = more uncertainty.
Variance = ฯƒยฒ = ((P โˆ’ O) / 6)ยฒ

๐Ÿ’ฐ Point of Total Assumption (PTA)

PTA = ((CP โˆ’ TP) / BSR) + TC
CP = Ceiling Price, TP = Target Price, BSR = Buyer's Share Ratio, TC = Target Cost
Used only for Fixed Price Incentive Fee (FPIF) contracts.